![]() Every day forecasts and estimates of one statistic or another are refined by researchers across the world. Every day new information becomes available as to which of those subtle shifts have bubbled to the surface to become apparent and noticeable. ![]() With 7 billion people growing and changing and moving every day, the population of each People group relative to others, the percentage of each religion in each People and hence in each country, the size of each denomination, and of each city and province, is constantly, and often subtly, changing. ![]() But it is every three months that all these changes are freshly reconciled with each other to create the comprehensive and internally consistent picture published quarterly in the World Religion Database. Changes are made almost daily to the underlying research database from the scores of sources that become available every day. The projections did not assume that all babies would retain the religion of their parents, but attempted to take religious switching into account, although “conversion patterns are complex and varied”, said Pew.Quarterly updates are not only opportunities to introduce completely new features or fields or modules to the Database, as is often the case, but every update inherently includes the results of a further three months of research. Jews, adherents of folk religions (faiths associated with a particular group of people, ethnicity or tribe), and followers of other religions made up smaller shares of the global population. Muslims were second at 24%, followed by religious “nones” (16%), Hindus (15%) and Buddhists (7%). In 2015, of the world’s 7.3bn people, Christians were the largest religious group, at 31%. ![]() Much of the worldwide growth of Islam and Christianity, for example, is expected to take place in sub-Saharan Africa,” said Pew. By contrast, religions with many adherents in developing countries – where birthrates are high and infant mortality rates have been falling – are likely to grow quickly. Religiously unaffiliated people are “heavily concentrated in places with ageing populations and low fertility, such as China, Japan, Europe and North America. “This dearth of newborns among the unaffiliated helps explain why religious ‘nones’ (including people who identify as atheist or agnostic, as well as those who have no particular religion) are projected to decline as a share of the world’s population in the coming decades.”īy 2055-2060, 9% of all babies will be born to religiously unaffiliated women, while more than 70% will be born to either Muslims (36%) or Christians (35%), said Pew. Religiously unaffiliated people make up 16% of the global population, but only produce 10% of the world’s babies. “In contrast with baby boom among Muslims, people who do not identify with any religion are experiencing a much different trend,” said Pew. Pew said the pattern was expected to continue across much of Europe in the decades ahead.ĭespite a relatively young and fertile Christian population in sub-Saharan Africa, Christians have accounted for a disproportionate 37% of the world’s deaths in recent years. In Germany, between 20, there were an estimated 1.4m more deaths than births among Christians. Meanwhile, deaths among Christians in Europe are far outstripping births. Between 20, the gap is expected to widen to 6 million – 232m births to Muslims, and 226m to Christians. ![]() Between 20, slightly more babies (225 million) will be born to Muslims than to Christians (224 million). That is set to change, owing to the relatively young age profile of Muslims and their higher fertility rates. ![]()
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